Chi-Square Distributions Right-Skewed distributions with minimum value of 0. Specific Chi-Square distribution indicated by a parameter called a degrees of freedom. Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit Test p1 = hypothesized proportion for category 1 H 0: . . . p k = hypothesized proportion for category k H a: H0 is not true, so at least one of the category proportions differs from the corresponding hypothesized value. Test Statistic: 2 = (observed cell count - expected cell count) 2 expected cell count Rejection Region: Reject H0 if 2 2 , k -1 Assumptions: 1. A random sample is selected from the population. 2. All expected counts are greater than or equal to 1. 3. No more than 20% of the expected cell counts are less than 5. Example M&M’s plain chocolate candies come in six different colors: brown, yellow, red, orange, green, and tan. According to the manufacturer (Mars, Inc.), the color ratio in each large production batch is 30% brown, 20% yellow, 20% red, 10% orange, 10% green, and 10% tan. To test this claim, a professor at Carleton College (Minnesota) had students count the colors of M&M’s found in “fun size” bags of candy (Teaching Statistics, Spring 1993). The results for the 370 M&M’s are shown in the table. [Note: In 1995, Mars, Inc. added a seventh color - blue - to bags of M&M’s.] Color # M&M’s Brown 84 Yellow 79 Red 75 Orange 49 Green 36 Tan 47 Total 370 Conduct a test to determine whether the true percentages of the colors produced differ from the manufacturer’s stated percentages. Use =. 05. Example A statistics department at a state university maintains a tutoring service for students in its introductory service courses. The service has been staffed with the expectation that 40% of its students would be from the business statistics course, 30% from engineering statistics, 20% from the statistics course for social science students, and the other 10% from the course for agriculture students. A random sample of n=120 students revealed 50, 40, 18, and 12 from the four courses. Does this data suggest that the percentages on which staffing was based are not correct? Conduct hypothesis using .05. Chi-Square Test of Independence H0: The two variables are independent Ha: The two variables are dependent(related) (observed cell count - expected cell count) 2 Test Statistic: = expected cell count all 2 cells Where expected cell count = (row total column total)/total sample size Rejection Region: Reject Ho if 2 2 , (r -1 )(c-1 ) Assumptions: 1. A random sample is selected from the population. 2. All expected counts are greater than or equal to 1. 3. No more than 20% of the expected cell counts are less than 5. Example Opinion polls often provide information on how different groups’ opinions vary on controversial issues. A random sample of 102 registered voters was taken from the Supervisor of Election’s roll. Each of the registered voters was asked the following two questions: 1. What is your political party affiliation? 2. Are you in favor of increased arms spending? The results are summarized in the table below. Opinion Favor No favor Democrat 16 24 Party Republican 21 17 None 11 13 Conduct test to determine if the opinions of individuals concerning military spending are related to party affiliation. Expected counts are printed below observed counts Chi-Square contributions are printed below expected counts 1 2 C1 16 18.82 0.424 C2 21 17.88 0.544 C3 11 11.29 0.008 Total 48 24 21.18 0.376 17 20.12 0.483 13 12.71 0.007 54 Total 40 38 24 102 ChiSq = 1.841, DF = 2, P-Value = 0.398 Example Are the educational aspirations of students related to family income? This question was investigated in the article “Aspirations and Expectations of High School Youth” (Int. J. of Comp. Soc. (1975): 25). The accompanying 4 X 3 table resulted from classifying 273 students according to expected level of education and family income. Does the data indicate that education aspirations and family income are not independent? Conduct hypothesis test using = .05. Income Aspired Level Some High School High School Graduate Some College College Graduate Low 9 44 13 10 Middle 11 52 23 22 High 9 41 12 27