ITU Regional Development Forum 2008 for the CIS, CEE and Baltic States “Bridging the ICT standardization gap in developing countries” Tashkent, Uzbekistan, 10-11 June 2008 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Oscar González Soto ITU Consultant Expert Strategic Planning and Assessment June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 1 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Content • Geo-characterization and challenges for Rural and LD areas • Network solutions per technology or combined technologies • Solution mapping per scenario June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 2 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Geo-characterization Large variety of geo-scenarios by combination of following key factors: • Topology with 3 main types: • Nucleus of population or villages, • Rural clusters, • Dispersed settlements • Density: • up to 5 inh./km2 for dispersed rural, • up to 50 inh./km2 for rural clusters and • up to 200 inh./km2 for Low Density areas and villages • Infrastructure availability: • Civil infrastructure, roads and urbanization level • Energy • Telecom infrastructure or Outside Plant • Services demand and economic level: • Basic services and payment capability • Tourist resorts and development settlements • Context-specific per country: political, cultural, etc. June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 3 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Example of Geo Scenarios modelling Suburban L1 L2 R1 R2 Villages Metropolitan L5 L4 R3 L3 R4 R5 Rural clusters Disperse settlements L6 R6 L(x): Distances between areas R(y): Area radius June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 4 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Involved population and location Between 40% and 60% population live in Rural and LD areas June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 5 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Challenges • Main challenges for the planners, designers and development experts are highlighted: • Scarce resources availability • Higher costs than urban areas and increasing with lower density following a quadratic rule • Low Traffic and Services demand generating low revenues • Difficult business feasibility with very long recovery time for investments • Regulatory constraints with rules and tariffs designed for urban areas and not appropriate for Low Density requirements • Technology solution mapping needed to select most economic solution as big differences exist among alternatives June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 6 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Investment Distribution in Greenfield Access Network Cost Composition for traditional PSTN and Data (Villages 1 node Ducts+ Aerial) 5 %5 % 4% Infrastructure (OSP) Cost Composition (Villages 1 node Ducts+Aerial) 4% 12 % 51 % 74% OSP PSTN access PSTN core DATA Overlay Transport 7% 25 % 13 % Primary Secondary Civil Works Engineering Management Dominant Outside Plant component compared to Electronic Equipment for traditional WL technologies June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 7 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Villages total cost 491 430 371 310 249 187 126 Rural total cost 65 2000 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Traditional Wireline cost sensitivity for a Greenfield Scenario 5 Monetary units Investment Sensitivity to customer density Customer density June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 8 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Content • Characterization and issues for Rural and LD areas • Network solutions per technology or combined technologies • Solution mapping per scenario June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 9 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Multiple technology alternatives at access Multiservice DLC (FTTC) xDSL Ethernet Wireline SDH/SONET Add Drop Mux FTTP/APON/EPON PLC Access Technologies CATV(HFC) WiMAX/MMDS/WIP WLAN LMDS Wireless VSAT IMT 2000 WLL Hybrid Satellite-WLL --------------------- - Multiple existing options and growing with time and research efforts June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 10 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Frequent applicability mapping at access Scenario Type Technology Solution LD Villages LD resorts WL-DLC/xDSL 99 99 Rural Clusters Disperse settlements 9 (if OSP available) 9 9 9 9 IMT 2000- WLL 99 9 Satellite 9 99 99 9 WL-PLC FTTx WiMax Mobile 9 99 FTTC FTTP 99 99 99 99 Most frequent applicability is illustrated per solution category June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 11 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Access Network Architecture: Wireline Typical Access Network structure: (classical) <40 km mean value ~1,7 km mean value ~300 m (50 % <1,2km, 90 % <3,7 km) (50 % <200 m, 90 % <500 m) branching cables main cable SDF . . NTBA ISDN basic rate FDF Local Exchange SDF MDF FDF SDF SDF drop line FDF . . MDF Regional Exchange . . . . SDF Main Distribution Frame Feeder Distribution Frame Subscriber Distribution Frame SDF drop line . . Frequent average distance values for EU networks June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 12 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Access Network Architecture: Wireline Evolution: FTTx Typical Access Network evolution towards BB and Convergence Local: ~ 40 km Distribution: mean value ~1,7 km Drop: mean value ~300 m branching cables FO . DLC SDF . . SDF LEX/GW LEX GW MDF DLC SDF FO . . . SDF Optical Interface drop line DLC drop line NTBA . . Local Exchange Gateway Main Distribution Frame Digital Loop Carrier Subscriber Distribution Frame Fiber Optic DLC FO deployed closer to subscriber premises at required investment pace June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 13 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Access Network: xDSL ISAM MDF FO TV Set Top Box PC xDSL Modem Copper Local Loop <≈ d km * BAS IP mode Aggregation Network NGN IP mode core network ATM Splitter MDF DSLAM PSTN SS7 Voice Circuit Switch Access * Bandwidth/distances per solution - ADSL: up to 4/8 Mbps/800 kbps d <= 3/1,5 km - ADSL plus: up to4/ 8 Mbps/800 kbps d <= 4.5/2,1 km - SHDSL: up to 2.3 Mbps symmetric d <= 1.8 km - VDSL: up to 52 Mbps Assym/ 26 Mbps Sym d <= 300m ( higher distances imply less bitrate following bandwidth shape curve) IN server MDF: Main Distribution Frame DSLAM: Digital Subscriber Line Access Multiplexer ISAM: IP mode Subscribes Access Multiplexer IN: Intelligent Network Server BAS: Broadband Access Server - Capacity range per customer between 4 Mbps and 52 Mbps - High reusability of existing infrastructure and equipment June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 14 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Example for Multi-scenario Access Network Architecture Any network Residential Ethernet Regional Ring/Network NGN ISAM Business Central Office Residential dispersed Business Area ADM PDH DLC E1/STM-1 STM-1/STM-4 Access Ring POP SDH DLC Nx2Mb/s (optical or HDSL) SDH Hub E1/STM-1 Business Park STM-1 LL PDH DLC Residential Business BAM Multitenant Residential DLC:Digital Loop Carrier - High variety of geo-scenarios and capacities covered with a product family June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 15 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Access Network Architecture: WiMax & WLL category Point-to-multipoint Transport SDH/ADM IP Backhauling SU-RT POC AU-RE SU-NI END USERS SU-NI SU POP Border router POI Other Networks PSTN/ISDN NGN SDH / ATM/ Ethernet/IP SU SU-RT BAS E3 AU BS ACCESS SU: Subscriber Unit SU-RT: Subscriber Unit Outdoor Unit SU-NI: Subscriber Unit Indoor Unit EDGE BS: Base Station AU: Access Unit AU-RE: Radio Front-end MGW: Media Gateway Aggregation BS traffic (ATM/SDH) or IP POC: Point of Concentration POP: Point of presence POI: Point of Interconnection BAS: Broadband Access Server MGW CORE Note: BAS is needed for an ATM approach but not for an NGN solution - Point to multipoint solutions with shared capacity among customers in the same BS June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 16 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Access Network Architecture: FTTP P a s s iv e O p t ic a l N e t w o r k ( P O N ) ONT S p litte r (s ) u p to 1 :3 2 1 o r 2 f ib e r s u p to 3 2 s u b s c r ib e r s O LT ( in C O ) + N o re m o te a c tiv e s + 5 0 % fe w e r p o rts n e e d e d + L o w e r life c y c le c o s t + V o ic e , V id e o , D a ta e a s y - H ig h e r p o r t c o s t - L o w e r d a ta b a n d w id th th a n P 2 P u p to 2 0 k m ONT: Optical Network Termination OLT: Optical Line Termination CO: Central Office P o in t to P o in t ( P 2 P ) S w it c h e d E th e r n e t E th e rn e t S w itc h (s ) ONT 1 - 1 0 f ib e r s O LT u p to 1 0 0 0 s u b s c r ib e r s 10 KM 1 o r 2 f ib e r s + + + - H i g h e r b a n d w id t h P o s s ib l y l o w e r f i r s t c o s t G r e a te r s e c u r ity L e s s r e lia b le ? H ig h e r m a in te n a n c e ? V o ic e a n d V id e o o v e r IP u n p ro v e n 3 0 0 m to 2 K M - Future oriented solution with a trend to decrease costs with economy of scale production - Capacity range per customer between 100 Mbs and 1000 Mbps June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 17 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Access Network : IMT 2000 WLL or FWA Example for access architecture based on CDMA 2000 - Easy to reuse existing infrastructure from mobile networks or start from scratch - Provides capability for both voice and data related services - Allows evolution in parallel to NGN and IMS functionalities June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 18 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Access Network Architecture: VSAT -Provides wide area coverage with a star like topology from a hub to the multiple remote stations -Typical capacities up to 256 kbps per customer - High start-up system costs but marginal costs with advantage at areas without infrastructure June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 19 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Access Network Architecture: PLC PLC repeater Transport Substation PLC head-end PLC modem Distribution Substation FO Backbone Network Low Voltage High Voltage ie: 400KV Medium Voltage Medium Voltage ie: 20KV ie: 220/380 V ie: 132KV PLC Domain - Capacity of the Power Line Communication (~ 45 to135 Mbps with OFDM) shared among customers reached from same substation. Frequency ranges: 1,6 to 10 Mhz and 10 to 35 Mhz - Solution quality highly dependent on historical installation electricity cables and topology June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 20 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Content • Characterization and issues for Rural and LD areas • Network solutions per technology or combined technologies • Solution mapping per scenario June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 21 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Methodology to map best solutions per scenario Compliance • Services • Capacities • Availability • Operational constraints Projects/ Geo-scenarios Selected Scenarios Input criteria Techno-economical Evaluation • Architecture • Density • Capital expenditure • NPV of full costs • Entry costs Network Models Mapping Technical Solutions Mapping Economical Solutions Results Qualifiers • Flexibility • Speed to service • Evolution • Experience Actions Selected Network Solutions Mapping Qualified Solutions Recommendations - Sequential planning activities to quantify solution behavior per geo-scenario type June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 22 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Example for Composition of prices: WL vs WLL cases Solutions for Greenfield scenarios (excluding Backhauling) Rural WL Rural WLL 2% 6% 20% 16% Switching 0% Access Equipment Transmission Infrastructure 20% 62% 74% Major differences appear in the cost distribution per network layer: - WL more intensive in Infrastructure and density dependent - WLL more intensive in Electronic equipment and traffic demand dependent June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 23 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Example for Cumulated Capex by layers: DLC case Villages: DLC based solution (Greenfield) 6000000 5000000 monetary units Infrastructure Transmission 4000000 Access Equipment Switching 3000000 2000000 1000000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Years - High investment at launching phase with dominant contribution by Infrastructure and access equipment by geo-coverage and customer volume June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 24 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Example for Cumulated Capex by layers over time: WLL case Villages: WLL based solution (Greenfield) 18 000 000 16 000 000 Infrastructure monetary units 14 000 000 Transmission 12 000 000 Access Equipment 10 000 000 Switching 8 000 000 6 000 000 4 000 000 2 000 000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Years - High investment at launching and growing phases with dominant contribution by access equipment both for geo-coverage and traffic demand June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 25 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas WL extension in existing network .WL solution Greenfield 53 47 40 33 27 20 WLL solution Greenfield 13 5 000 4 500 4 000 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 7 CAPEX, price per line, Monetary units Cost sensitivity to customer density per type of solution Density: (customers/ km^2) - Clear cross-point between WL and WLL solutions as a density function - Important impact of existing network reusability June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 26 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Example of mapping recommendation WL: Multiservice and DSLAM xDSL 8000 High density Narrowband Switching GPON/FTTH 1000 1000 Overlap area Rural and Low Density Medium density Quantitative Dif. < 10% 200 - High 200 clustering Low density 20 - Low clustering “Qualitative assignment” assignment” Wireless Access Narrowband Wireless Access Wideband/BB/WiMAX Fixed GSM/CDMA Satellite BB Satellite NB 0.5 Cust./Km2 Services &Traffic June 2008 POTS/Fax POTS/ISDN/Data POTS/Data nx64 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. POTS/data/Video Multimedia BB slide 27 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Mapping Recommendations for Access Large economic differences between solutions (ie: between 20% and 200%) • Deployment of DSL and Multimedia Services when existing Outside Plant infrastructures and villages or resorts • FO closer to customer (FTTP) when implementing new outside plant or renovating existing one in nucleus of villages • New Wireless technologies: WiMAX for low density customer scenarios and rural areas. • Satellite or combined Satellite + WiMax for dispersed areas • Mobile solutions for most scenarios with lower bandwidth et LD areas June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 28 Telecom Solutions for Rural and LD Areas Gap reduction recommendations for Rural and LD areas • Characterize country LD geo-scenarios to allow best mapping of most economical solutions • Develop a specific regulatory strategy for LD areas to facilitate property management, right of way rules and leased media to decrease infrastructure costs • Develop public-private infrastructure ownership at municipal level to reduce impact of civil investments • Use nation level purchasing power and regional agreements to get benefits of economy of scale for best telecom solutions June 2008 ITU/BDT Solutions for Rural and LD areas - O.G.S. slide 29