Wireless Broadband in the Global Scene

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ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04
Regional Seminar on
Broadband Wireless Access for Asia-Pacific Region
Busan, 10.9.04
Wireless Broadband
in the Global Scene
Fabio Leite
ITU Radiocommunication Bureau
Regional Seminar on
Broadband Wireless Access for Asia-Pacific Region
Busan, 10.9.04
Wireless Broadband
in the Global Scene
Contents
• Birth of BWA & return of FWA
• The ITU vision of wireless future
• Broadband initiatives
• Road to global BWA
F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau
1
ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04
Connecting the World
World population:
Not having broadband:
6.4 billion
6.3 billion
“…The economic and social case for developing
broadband access is very strong and takes on
added significance for rural and remote
communities, where improved communications
can address a variety of challenges posed by
distance.”
OECD, April 2004.
New fact: the emergence of broadband wireless
as a platform to provide low-cost high-performance
access networks in rural and remote areas.
Internet & Broadband Growth
In millions, worldwide
700
10.7%
Internet
600
7.4%
Broadband
500
400
4.0%
Broadband as %
of Internet users
300
0%
200
100
1.4%
0.3%
0%
0%
1995
1996
0
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
Source: ITU, 2003.
F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau
2
ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04
Broadband worldwide
Shaded countries (81) had commercially available broadband services at 31.12.2002.
Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database
Wireless & wired broadband access
Wired access systems mostly in urban areas.
100
%,
90
2003
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
BWA in rural areas
is becoming the ideal
means of extending
the capabilities of the
wired access
systems .
Australia
Canada
Japan
Korea
New Zealand
USA
DSL
Cable Modem
Rural Pop
Source: OECD, 2004.
F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau
3
ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04
Broadband Wireless Access
“This
“This will
will revolutionize
revolutionize society,
society, just
just as
as mobile
mobile
telephony
revolutionized
society
in
the
1980s”
telephony revolutionized society in the 1980s”,,
Mike
MikeGalvin,
Galvin,Director
Directorof
ofInternet
InternetOperations,
Operations,BT.
BT.
“Some
“Some ideas
ideas that
that have
have been
been given
given up
up for
for dead
dead can
can
be
be revived,
revived, either
either through
through rethinking
rethinking the
the basic
basic
business
business model,
model, or
or through
through advances
advances in
in technology.
technology.
In
In particular,
particular, the
the proposal
proposal for
for Internet
Internet access
access
through
through fixed
fixed wireless,
wireless, which
which led
led to
to major
major losses
losses at
at
Winstar,
Teligent,
as
well
as
at
AT&T
Wireless
and
Winstar, Teligent, as well as at AT&T Wireless and
Sprint,
Sprint, may
may yet
yet turn
turn out
out to
to be
be the
the best
best way
way to
to provide
provide
residential
residential broadband
broadband access.”
access.”,,
Andrew
AndrewOdlyzko,
Odlyzko,Univ.
Univ.of
ofMinnesota
Minnesota
Business Model Shift
Centrally-planned
Market-driven
fiber
ISDN
Wi-Fi hotspots
satellite
fixed-telephony
cellular
BWA
ADSL
MVNO
FWA
cable-modem VoIP
Regulated
Open competition
Utility-based
Technology-based
F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau
4
ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04
Fixed Wireless Service
revenues by region 1999-2005
Fixed wireless
deployments to both
households and business
premises could reach
almost 28 million
customers by 2005.
The market by then was
estimated to be worth
almost $42 billion in
service revenues, and
would have penetrated
almost all developing
and advanced world
economies.
Source: ARC Group, Dec. 2000.
BWA market
Steady
growth
Source: http://www.visantstrategies.com/chart80216mod.html
F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau
5
ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04
Status & roles of BWA
A migration path to beyond
IMT-2000 systems.
World Market
Market Forecasts
Forecasts
World
2003-2008
2003-2008
by
by
More likely to be used by
holders of BWA spectrum
rather than mobile carriers.
Plays a role in outdoor
and private networks, the
extension of hot spots,
and backhaul applications
that lack line-of-sight.
Equipment is forecast to reach a value of
approximately $1 billion in 2008, the study finds,
with growth accelerating late in the period
Systems beyond IMT-2000
Systems beyond IMT-2000
will encompass the
capabilities of previous
systems
Mobility
IEEE 802.16e/20
New capabilities of
systems beyond
High
WCDMA HSDPA
EV-Enhanced
EVcdma2000
IMT-2000
1x
IMT-2000
DO DV
New Mobile
Access
IEEE 802.16-2004
HIPERMAN
Dashed line indicates
that the exact data rates
associated with systems
beyond IMT-2000 are not
yet determined
Enhancement t
Enhancemen
MBWAWi-Bro
WMAN
NWA
Low
1
interconnection
New Nomadic /
Area Wireless Access
Local
10
100
Peak Useful Data Rate (Mb/s)
Nomadic / Local Area Access Systems
1000
IEEE 802.11a/b/g
HIPERLAN
Digital Broadcast Systems
F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau
6
ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04
Broadband global initiative
Plan of Action (Document WSIS-03/GENEVA/DOC/5): C2. Information and
communication infrastructure: an essential foundation for the Information
Society:
d) Develop and strengthen national, regional and international broadband
network infrastructure, including delivery by satellite and other
systems , to help in providing the capacity to match the needs of countries
and their citizens and for the delivery of new ICT-based services. Support
technical, regulatory and operational studies by the ITU and, as appropriate,
other relevant international organizations in order to:
• broaden access to orbital resources, global frequency harmonization and
global systems standardization;
• encourage public/private partnership;
• promote the provision of global high-speed satellite services for
underserved areas such as remote and sparsely populated areas;
• explore other systems that can provide high-speed connectivity.
Broadband regional initiatives
AMERICAS
AMERICAS
Resolution
Resolution
PCC.I/RES.21
(II-03)
PCC.I/RES.21 (II-03)
onBroadband
BroadbandAccess
Access
on
Technologies
and
Technologies and
Services
Services
Policies to promote
national broadband
infrastructure.
ASIA-PACIFIC
ASIA-PACIFIC
ActionPlan:
Plan:“The
“The
Action
EuropeanBroadband
Broadband
European
Strategy”
Strategy”
ECCOM(2003)
COM(2003)65
65
EC
“Electronic
“Electronic
communications:
the
communications: the
roadtotothe
theknowledge
knowledge
road
economy
economy ””
APECAsia
AsiaBroadband
Broadband
APEC
Program
(conducted
by
Program (conducted by
Japan)
(2002-05)
Japan) (2002-05)
IT-related policy
measures towards a
globally-balanced IT
society.
- all Member States to put comprehensive national broadband strategies in place by
the end of 2003;
- all public administrations to have broadband connections by end 2005;
- half of all Internet connections to be broadband by 2005.
F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau
7
ITU-APT Seminar on BWA, Busan, 10.9.04
The road to BWA
Resources & policy
Service objectives
Technology strategy
• Spectrum & regulations
• System requirements
• Radio interface standards
ITU & BWA
Radiocommunications
Radiocommunications
Preferred frequency
frequency bands
bands (harmonization)
(harmonization)
-- Preferred
Draft ITU-R
ITU-R Recommendation
Recommendation on
on radio
radio interface
interface
--specifications
Draft
(requirements &
& standards)
standards)
specifications (requirements
Collaboration with
with external
external organizations
organizations
-- Collaboration
(e.g., IEEE
IEEE 802.16
802.16 WG
WG &
& ETSI
ETSI Project
Project BRAN)
BRAN)
(e.g.,
Strategy &
& Policy
Policy
Strategy
Workshops
&publications
publications(e.g.,
(e.g.,Promoting
PromotingBroadband,
Broadband,
- Workshops &
The Birth
Birth of
of Broadband
Broadband &
& country
country case
case studies)
studies)
The
Developingcountries
countries
Developing
Report
on
Broadband
Technologies(ITU-D
(ITU-D Q.20/2)
Q.20/2)
- Report on Broadband Technologies
Seminars on
on BWA
BWA
-- Seminars
Visit: http://www.itu.int/ITU-R/study-groups/was/
F. Leite, ITU Radiocommunication Bureau
8
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