Contents
• Mobile sector overview
–
–
–
–
–
Mobile Africa
Mobile business
Mobile policy
Wireless Internet
Mobile future
• 22 Topical Tables
• 55 Country Pages
• Directory of ministries, regulators & operators
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
MOBILE AFRICA:
World’s fastest growing mobile market
65
Mobile cellular subscribers
Annual Average Growth
1998-2003
24
24
Oceania
Americas
33
35
World
Europe
38
Asia
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
Africa
Mobile predominant method of
telecommunications in Africa
• Mobile passed fixed in
2001
Subscribers per 100 inhabitants
7
6.2
6
• 43 African countries
(78%) have more
mobile than fixed
telephone subscribers
• Almost 70% of African
telephone subscribers
use mobile
5
Mobile
4
3
3.0
2
Fixed
1
0
1995
1997
1999
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
2001
2003
MOBILE BUSINESS
Strategic investors in Africa,
2003
Average Revenue Per User (ARPU)
Per month, 2003, US$
Japan
60
Nigeria
55
UK
41
Africa
Egypt
CelTel, MTN, Orascom, Vodacom
27
17
Brazil
13
India
11
Other strategic investors
(> 1 country)
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
MOBILE POLICY
Mobile market structure in Africa, number of countries
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
14
No network
39
04
No competition
Competition
16
•Majority allow competition
• Enhancing competition
• Universal access
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
41
Universal service
• Community access
centres
Community access centres, 000s, RSA
40
30
20
10
0
1994
• Coverage
License
requirement
96
98
2000
02
Mobile population coverage, RSA
97%
100%
80% 57%
60%
86.70%
License
40%
20%
requirement
0%
1995
1997
1999
2001
• Subsidizing low income users
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
WIRELESS INTERNET
1.
2.
3.
4.
Second Generation (2G)
Second and a half (2.5G)
Third Generation (3G)
Fixed wireless
Internet users
per 100 inhabitants, Africa
100
10
1.6
1
0.1
0.01
1995
1997
1999
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
2001
2003
2G
SMS per subscriber per month, 2002
South Africa
17
Mauritius
11
Egypt (03)
9
6
Togo
World
4
Morocco
4
Côte d'Ivoire
4
Cape Verde
3
Burkina Faso
3
• SMS close to or above
world average
• SMS4D: Agriculture,
democracy, health,
finance
• GSM dial-up
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
2.5G
Commercial GPRS networks in Africa, Dec. 2003
Subscribers
Total
Date
% total
subs.
Country
Operator Launch Name
South
Africa
MTN
Jul.02
dataLIVE 30'000
Jun.03
0.6%
South
Africa
Vodacom
Oct-02
MyLife
36‘000
Sep.03
0.4%
Egypt
Vodafone
Apr.03
live!
25'000
Dec.03
0.9%
Egypt
Mobinil
Sep.03
Life
70’000
Dec.03
2.3%
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
3G
• No “formal”
launches or
licensing
procedures
• Fixed wireless
3G using
CDMA2000 1x
• First mobile
3G network in
Angola
Source: Uganda Communications Commission.
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
Fixed wireless
Nigerian Fixed Wireless Access operators
deploying CDMA2000 1x, 2003
Operator
Frequency
Infrastructure
Vendor
Date
announced
Coverage
Intercellular
800 MHz
Motorola
July-03
Lagos
Multi-Links
1900 MHz
Nortel
Networks
March-03
Lagos
Reliance
1900 MHz
Ericsson
April-03
Nationwide
Starcomms
1900 MHz
Ericsson
March-03
Lagos
Starcomms
1900 MHz
Huawei
August-03
Kano, Lagos
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
MOBILE FUTURE
Can growth be sustained?
New mobile subscribers in Africa, millions
107%
Annual growth rate of total
mobile subscribers in Africa
13.8
12.2
64%
47%
36%
10.1
8.1
2000
2001
2002
2003
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
• Little relation between
mobile coverage and
urban population
Pop. coverage
• Little relation between
mobile penetration and
low levels of income
Mobile per 100
Barriers?
R2 = 0.3646
10
5
0
$100
$200 $300 $400
GDP per capita
$500
R2 = 0.0335
100
50
0
0
50
Urban pop
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
100
Expanding mobile
• Government
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
Minimizing / eliminating taxes/fees
Promote infrastructure sharing
Full service licenses
Interconnect
Minimize inefficiencies
Universal access policies
Market information
Forecast mobile
subscribers in Africa
under different scenarios.
Millions, 2010
20.4
Per 100
inhabitants
• Operators
– Lower interconnect rates
– Expand coverage
– Roaming/data services
• Manufacturers
– Cheaper & appropriate equipment
– Poverty reduction
• Donors
– Capacity building
– Recycle handsets
– Backbones
10.2
6.2
15.3
200
150
100
51
2003
2010
Low
2010
Medium
Low: annual growth 10%
Medium: annual growth 16%
High: annual growth 21%
AFRICAN TELECOMMUNICATION INDICATORS 2004
2010
High
Report available here:
http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/ict/publications/africa/2004/