Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden *University of Connecticut NAAFE 2015 Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery Policy background • Common Pool in the New England groundfish fisheries • Allocation of days at sea • Area closures • Gear restricted areas • Sector management: rights-based approach Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery New regime in the New England groundfish fisheries • Started from May 1, 2010 • Voluntarily formed sectors • Annual catch limits (ACLs) • Annual Catch Entitlements (ACEs) • Each member has the potential sector contributions (PSC) to the sector’s ACEs • Based on their catch history for a fixed period (1996-2006) • ACEs transferable within the sector and across sectors • Joint liability • Overage could impact next year’s ACEs and lead to penalties Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery Research outline • What do we gain from forming sectors? • Does cooperation exist? Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery Literature review • A recent survey by Morrison Paul et al. (2010) • Two primary methods: productivity indices and frontiers • Total factor productivity (TFP) measurement for the Pacific Coast trawl fishing industry (Squires, 1992) • TFP in the New England groundfish fishery (Jin et al., 2002) (TFP increased from 1964 to 1982, but declined from 1983 to 1993 mainly due to more stringent output and effort controls.) • Productivity change in the Mid-Atlantic surfclam and ocean quahog fishery under ITQ management (Walden et al., 2012) (productivity increased immediately after ITQ implementation, but the gains were not sustained for multiple reasons) Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery Main Dataset • Logbook data from 2007 to 2012 for the New England groundfish fisheries • • • • • • weight of catch price by species and trip catch region by vessel, species and trip trip length crew size gear type by vessel and trip and location • Individual vessel characteristics • Vessel tonnage • Vessel size • Vessel power Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery Stochastic Production Frontiers (SPF) Model • For multi-species lnyit1 = f ( • • • • yit2 yit3 yitK , , ..., , xit ; β) + εit − uit , uit ≥ 0 yit1 yit1 yit1 (1) y: output i: individual vessel i t: time x: input • Technical Efficiency TEi = E [e −uit |εit ] Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden (2) *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery Table: Stochastic Production Frontier model result Parameter Frontier ln(y2/y1) ln(y3/y1) ln (vessel length) ln(crew size) ln(trip length) (ln(y2/y1))2 (ln(y3/y1))2 (ln (vessel length))2 (ln(crew size))2 (ln(trip length))2 lnstock t t2 t3 Month2 Month3 Month4 Month5 Month6 Month7 Month8 Month9 Month10 Month11 Month12 location2 location3 location4 ln(y2/y1)*ln(y3/y1) Coef. Std. Err. -0.511*** -0.127*** 12.500*** -1.417*** -0.475*** -0.015*** -0.005*** -1.496*** 0.097*** 0.023*** -2.524 0.041*** 0.000*** 0.000*** -0.070*** -0.020 -0.049** 0.150*** 0.111*** 0.054** -0.072*** -0.059** -0.135*** -0.018 0.052* 0.036 -0.374*** -0.481*** 0.004*** 0.015 0.010 0.870 0.361 0.130 0.000 0.000 0.113 0.036 0.006 2.514 0.007 0.000 0.000 0.020 0.019 0.023 0.024 0.021 0.023 0.025 0.027 0.029 0.029 0.027 0.022 0.019 0.027 0.000 Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden Parameter ln(y2/y1)*ln(vessel length) ln(y2/y1)*ln(crew size) ln(y2/y1)*on(trip length) ln(y2/y1)*lnstock ln(y2/y1)*t ln(y3/y1)*ln (vessel length) ln(y3/y1)*ln(crew size) ln(y3/y1)*ln(trip length) ln(y3/y1)*lnstock ln(y3/y1)*t ln (vessel length)*ln(crew size) ln (vessel length)*ln(trip length) ln (vessel length)*lnstock ln (vessel length)*t ln(crew size)*ln(trip length) ln(crew size)*lnstock ln(crew size)*t ln(trip length)*lnstock ln(trip length)*t lnstock*t after cons Inefficiency model ln(σ(uit )2 ) after ln(vessel length) Crowding Sector size Shannon location cons ln(σ(vit )2 ) # of obs. Coef. 0.028*** -0.011*** -0.005*** -0.060*** 0.000*** -0.003 0.010*** 0.003*** 0.071*** 0.000*** 0.429*** 0.348*** 0.874 -0.012*** -0.118*** -0.950** 0.001 0.273** 0.001*** -0.027** -0.071 -18.962*** Std. Err. 0.004 0.002 0.001 0.017 0.000 0.003 0.002 0.001 0.013 0.000 0.098 0.034 0.618 0.001 0.021 0.374 0.001 0.133 0.000 0.014 0.119 1.684 0.498*** -0.489*** -0.022*** -0.023*** -0.465*** 3.264*** -1.599*** 38881 0.042 0.048 0.001 0.001 0.022 0.190 0.022 *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery Table: The inefficiency model Parameter ln(σ(uit )2 ) after ln(vessel length) Crowding Sector size Shannon location cons ln(σ(vit )2 ) Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden Coef. Std. Err. 0.498*** -0.489*** -0.022*** -0.023*** -0.465*** 3.264*** -1.599*** 0.042 0.048 0.001 0.001 0.022 0.190 0.022 *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery Figure: Average Technical Efficiency Over Years Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery Table: Change in Probability of Choosing the Same Location Sector 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 Vessel pair (1, 2) (3, 4) (3, 5) (3, 6) (3, 7) (4, 5) (4, 6) (4, 7) (5, 6) (5, 7) (6, 7) (8, 9) (8, 10) (8, 11) (9, 10) (9, 11) (10, 11) (12, 13) (12, 14) (12, 15) (12, 16) (12, 17) (12, 18) (13, 14) (13, 15) (13, 16) (13, 17) (13, 18) (14, 15) (14, 16) (14, 17) (14, 18) (15, 16) (15, 17) (15, 18) (16, 17) (16, 18) (17, 18) (19, 20) (19, 21) (20, 21) Constant 1.279*** (Std. Err.) (0.124) After -2.793 *** (Std. Err.) (0.254) # of obs 266 Before(%) 89.9 After(%) 6.5 Change(%) -83.5*** 1.905*** 1.666*** (0.152) (0.148) 0.610 0.270 (0.383) (0.241) 450 398 97.2 95.2 99.4 97.4 2.2 2.1 1.607*** 1.805*** (0.107) (0.149) 0.574* 0.665* (0.297) (0.386) 507 401 94.6 96.4 98.5 99.3 3.9* 2.9* 2.336*** 1.952*** 2.630*** -0.665*** -0.454*** -0.443*** 1.171*** (0.215) (0.141) (0.339) (0.149) (0.103) (0.108) (0.170) -0.445* 0.624* -0.624 1.497*** 0.937*** 1.300*** -0.505** (0.255) (0.373) (0.387) (0.190) (0.146) (0.161) (0.198) 649 553 457 231 319 289 273 99.0 97.5 99.6 25.3 32.5 32.9 87.9 97.1 99.5 97.8 79.7 68.6 80.4 74.7 -2.0* 2.0* -1.8 54.4*** 36.1*** 47.5*** -13.2** 1.391*** 1.691*** 2.007*** 1.556*** 1.677*** 1.728*** 1.660*** 1.640*** 1.381*** 2.066*** 1.873*** 1.620*** (0.156) (0.124) (0.240) (0.130) (0.141) (0.145) (0.166) (0.150) (0.100) (0.166) (0.131) (0.127) -0.571*** -0.750*** -1.140*** -0.723*** -0.462** -0.601*** 0.706* 0.920*** 0.817*** -0.466** 0.017 0.984*** (0.192) (0.173) (0.275) (0.203) (0.219) (0.232) (0.404) (0.287) (0.246) (0.205) (0.253) (0.365) 299 458 248 318 333 315 276 580 538 601 496 483 91.8 95.5 97.8 94.0 95.3 95.8 95.2 94.9 91.6 98.1 96.9 94.7 79.4 82.7 80.7 79.8 88.8 87.0 99.1 99.5 98.6 94.5 97.1 99.5 -12.4*** -12.8*** -17.1*** -14.3*** -6.5** -8.8*** 3.9* 4.5*** 7.0*** -3.5** 0.1 4.8*** 1.519*** 1.691*** (0.149) (0.164) 0.121 0.712* (0.202) (0.400) 409 299 93.6 95.5 95.0 99.2 1.4 3.7* 1.457*** (0.119) -0.043 (0.202) 375 92.7 92.1 -0.6 1.730*** 1.547*** 2.028*** -0.700*** (0.138) (0.155) (0.206) (0.174) 0.039 0.685** 0.053 -1.414*** (0.265) (0.313) (0.353) (0.333) 367 320 295 178 95.8 93.9 97.9 24.2 96.2 0 98.7 98.1 1.7 .3 4.8** 0.3 -22.5*** 1.017*** (0.145) 1.083*** (0.274) 278 84.5 98.2 13.7*** Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery The independece test lnxit = Ft + Fi + lnstockyear + it (3) • Ft : Fixed effect of time • Fi : Fixed effect of individual vessel • xit : trip length H0 : ρij = 0 Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden (4) *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery Table: Fisher’s test of Conditional Independence Sector 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 Vessel pair (1, 2) (3, 4) (3, 5) (3, 6) (3, 7) (4, 5) (4, 6) (4, 7) (5, 6) (5, 7) (6, 7) (8, 9) (8, 10) (8, 11) (9, 10) (9, 11) (10, 11) (12, 13) (12, 14) (12, 15) (12, 16) (12, 17) (12, 18) (13, 14) (13, 15) (13, 16) (13, 17) (13, 18) (14, 15) (14, 16) (14, 17) (14, 18) (15, 16) (15, 17) (15, 18) (16, 17) (16, 18) (17, 18) (19, 20) (19, 21) (20, 21) Before r 0.195 0.151 0.213 0.112 0.249 0.594 0.269 0.577 0.458 0.680 0.314 -0.048 0.236 -0.003 0.018 0.012 -0.047 0.283 0.036 0.116 0.057 0.110 0.141 0.115 0.195 0.062 0.352 0.339 0.040 0.071 0.132 0.177 -0.030 0.105 0.144 0.012 -0.021 0.130 -0.094 -0.190 0.112 Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden Z 6.520*** 5.035*** 7.146*** 3.702*** 8.417*** 22.589*** 9.103*** 21.750*** 16.348*** 27.403*** 10.752*** -1.602 7.966*** -0.099 0.603 0.386 -1.545 9.604*** 1.178 3.851*** 1.896* 3.651*** 4.693*** 3.803*** 6.539*** 2.046** 12.154*** 11.652*** 1.324 2.357** 4.396*** 5.901*** -0.990 3.478*** 4.793*** 0.410 -0.683 4.319*** -3.118*** -6.368*** 3.714*** After r 0.037 0.117 0.119 0.141 0.201 0.168 0.147 0.017 0.632 0.317 0.330 0.213 0.236 0.203 0.231 0.150 0.130 0.003 -0.113 0.098 0.023 0.271 0.335 0.170 0.017 0.026 -0.090 0.086 -0.006 -0.017 -0.035 -0.026 -0.088 -0.076 0.105 0.076 0.156 0.332 -0.123 0.060 0.064 Z 1.006 3.166*** 3.220*** 3.834*** 5.512*** 4.578*** 3.984*** 0.447 20.086*** 8.855*** 9.251*** 5.847*** 6.500*** 5.556*** 6.349*** 4.081*** 3.535*** 0.080 -3.072*** 2.658*** 0.608 7.507*** 9.401*** 4.628*** 0.452 0.701 -2.426** 2.326** -0.175 -0.449 -0.941 -0.706 -2.388** -2.047** 2.852*** 2.042** 4.235*** 9.317*** -3.335*** 1.612 1.733* Change DI DD DD DD DD DD DD DI DD DD DD ID DD ID ID ID ID DI ID DD DI DD DD DD DI DI DD DD II DI DI DI ID DD DD ID ID DD DD DI DD *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery Conclusion • Technical Efficiency increases by 3.45% on average after 2010 for trawl vessels; • Agglomeration effect, sector size, location specialization impact Technical Efficiency • Multiple pieces of evidence supports that cooperation exists. Ling Huang*, Subhash Ray, Kathleen Segerson, John Walden *University of Connecticut Evaluating the Impact of Rights-based Fisheries Management: Evidence from the New England Groundfish Fishery