Fall 2012 Freshman Cohort Non-returning Students: What do we know?

advertisement

Fall 2012 Freshman Cohort Non-returning Students: What do we know?

Executive Summary

The following report provides an analysis of 606 first-time full-time degree seeking freshmen in the University of South Alabama (USA) Fall 2012 freshman cohort who did not return to USA in

Fall 2013. Of these non-returning students, 246 (41%) transferred to another institution prior to

Fall 2013 and 360 (59%) “stopped out” or did not enroll in another college or university.

Results indicated a large majority of transfer students transferred to another institution with one or more of the following characteristics: public, a two year institution, and/or located in Alabama, with the majority (60%) transferring to a community college.

Findings showed a large percentage based differential between students who “stopped out” with a USA GPA of 2.0 or lower (30%) or students with less than six hours earned at USA (24%) and students who transferred and had a similar USA GPA or a similar number of USA earned hours.

Indicators for students at greater risk to “stop out” instead of transferring to another institution included students of local origin from Mobile or Baldwin County (26%), living off campus (17%), did not participate in a learning community (15%), and male

(14%).

Overview

The following report provides an analysis of 606 first-time full-time degree seeking freshmen in the University of South Alabama (USA) Fall 2012 freshman cohort who did not return to USA in

Fall 2013. The National Student Clearinghouse (NSC) was used to identify whether non-returning students transferred to another institution or “stopped out” and did not enroll in another higher education institution in Fall 2013. While the preference is for students to return and persist at

USA, a student who transferred to another institution could be considered a secondary measure of student success.

More than 3,500 colleges and universities in the United States participate in the NSC. With NSC participating institutions enrolling over 98% of all students in public and private colleges and universities in the United States, students who were not identified as transfer students by the NSC were unlikely to be enrolled at another college or university and had “stopped out” of higher education. This report provides comparisons between 246 non-returning students who transferred to another institution prior to Fall 2013 and 360 non-returning students who “stopped out” and did not enroll at another college or university.

Profile of Non-returning Student Who “Stopped Out”

No other scholarship

1

(92%)

Not in a learning community (76%)

USA GPA of 2.0 or lower (74%)

18 years old (74%)

1

Military/ROTC, vocational rehab, employment funded, prepaid AL, MS, or FL tuition, etc.

Institutional Research and Planning Page 1

No freshman scholarship

2

(66%)

Took Freshman Seminar (60%)

From Mobile or Baldwin County (59%)

White (59%)

Male (57%)

Lived off-campus (56%)

Earned zero to six USA credit hours (40%)

High school GPA between 3.01-3.5 (36%)

ACT Composite score of 21-23 (26%)

Attended Freshman Session 6 new student orientation session (20%)

Profile of Non-returning Student Who Transferred

No other scholarship (85%)

18 years old (82%)

No freshman scholarship (71%)

Took Freshman Seminar (66%)

White (64%)

Lived on-campus (61%)

Not in a learning community (61%)

Female (57%)

From rest of Alabama (45%)

USA GPA of 2.0 or lower (44%)

High school GPA between 3.01-3.5 (34%)

ACT Composite score of 21-23 (31%)

Earned 12.5-18 USA credit hours (22%)

Attended the Freshman Session 3 or Freshman Session 5 new student orientation sessions

(16%)

Where Non-returning Students Transferred

Of the 246 non-returning students who transferred, a large majority transferred to an institution with one or more of three characteristics (see Table 1 and Table 2). The transfer institution was likely: 1) public (95%), 2) a two year institution (60%), and/or 3) located in Alabama (70%).

Florida (9%) and Mississippi (9%) were also a likely transfer destination of the non-returning students.

Table 1: Control and Type of Institution Where USA Students Transferred

Public or Private Institution Count % 2 or 4 Year Institution Count %

Public Institution

Private Institution

234

12

95%

5%

2 Year Institution

4 Year Institution

148

98

60%

40%

Table 2: Top States Where USA Students Transferred

Rank State

1 Alabama

Count

171

%

70%

2

3

4

5

Florida

Mississippi

Louisiana

Georgia

23

22

6

4

9%

9%

2%

2%

2

Bay Area, Honors, Mitchell, Presidential, or Starnes merit based scholarships

Institutional Research and Planning Page 2

The most common two year transfer institutions of choice were Faulkner State Community

College (30), Mississippi Gulf Coast Community College (16), and Bishop State Community

College (14). Of the four year universities, Auburn University at Montgomery (14), Pensacola

State College (10), and University of Alabama (10) were the most common transfer destination

(see Table 3).

Table 3: Top Institutions Where USA Students Transferred

Rank College

1

2

3

3

5

6

6

8

8

Faulkner State Community College

Mississippi Gulf Coast Community College

Auburn University at Montgomery

Bishop State Community College

Southern Union State Community College

Pensacola State College

University of Alabama

Calhoun Community College

University of Alabama at Birmingham

10 Auburn University

Count

11

10

10

9

9

30 12%

16 7%

14

14

6%

6%

4%

4%

4%

4%

4%

7

%

3%

10 Jefferson State Community College

10 University of West Florida

10 Wallace State Community College

7

7

7

3%

3%

3%

Comparison of Non-returning Transfer Students to Students Who “Stopped Out”

Multiple characteristics of non-returning students were compared to determine what characteristics showed large percentage based differentials between 360 non-returning students who “stopped out” compared to 246 non-returning students who transferred. The following table displays characteristics with percentage based differentials of 10% or greater between students who transferred and students who “stopped out” (see Table 4 or complete data tables found in the

Appendix).

Results showed the USA GPA (first) and the number of USA earned hours (third) were two of the three characteristics with subgroups that showed the greatest differential between non-returning students who “stopped out” and students who transferred.

74% of the non-returning students who “stopped out” had a USA GPA of 2.0 or lower

(250) compared to 44% of non-returning students who transferred (103).

17% of the non-returning students who transferred had a USA GPA of 3.01 to 3.5 (40) compared to 3% of non-returning students who “stopped out” (9).

40% of non-returning students who “stopped out” had zero to six USA earned hours

(135) compared to 16% of non-returning students who transferred (37).

18% of non-returning students who transferred had 24.5 to 30 USA earned hours (42) compared to 7% of non-returning students who “stopped out” (23).

Institutional Research and Planning Page 3

Table 4: Greatest Differentials Between Non-Returner Transfers and Stop Outs

Top within Group

Characteristics

Transferred

(n=246)

%

Transferred

Stopped

Out

(n=360)

% Stopped

Out

% Difference

Between

Transferred &

Stopped Out

USA GPA (Note: n=338 Stopped Out; 232 Transferred)

2.0 or lower 103 44%

3.01-3.5

Region

40 17%

250

9

74%

3%

-30%

+14%

211

98

59%

27%

-26%

+18%

Mobile/ Baldwin County

Rest of Alabama

24.5-30 hours

Housing

82

111

33%

45%

USA Earned Hours (Note: n=338 Stopped Out; 232 Transferred)

0-6 hours 37 16%

42 18%

95 39% Off-Campus

Learning Community

Not in learning community

Gender

151 61%

135

23

201

272

40%

7%

56%

76%

-24%

+11%

-17%

-15%

Male 106 43% 204 57% -14%

Note: Cells are shaded in yellow where % transferred compared to % stopped out was positive and greater or equal to 10% while cells are shaded in red where % transferred compared to % stopped out was negative and greater than or equal to 10%.

The region where the student originated from was the comparison group with the second greatest percentage based differential between non-returning students who “stopped out” and nonreturning students who transferred. Students who originated from Mobile or Baldwin County were much more likely to “stop out” than to transfer to another institution.

59% of non-returning students who “stopped out” came from Mobile or Baldwin County

(211) compared to 33% of non-returning students who transferred (82).

45% of non-returning students who transferred came from the rest of Alabama (111) compared to 27% of non-returning students who “stopped out” (98).

Three other comparison groups showed percentage based differentials greater than or equal to

10% between students who “stopped out” and students who transferred. These other three comparison groups were: 1) housing, 2) learning community, and 3) gender.

56% of non-returning students who “stopped out” lived off campus (201) compared to

39% of non-returning students who transferred (95).

76% of non-returning students who “stopped out” did not participate in a learning community (272) compared to 61% of non-returning students who transferred (151).

57% of non-returning students who “stopped out” were male (204) compared to 43% of non-returning students who transferred (106).

Implications

Results showed a large percentage based differential between students who “stopped out” with a

USA GPA of 2.0 or lower (30%) or students with less than six USA earned hours (24%) and compared to students who transferred. These students may have benefited from programs such as intrusive advising and peer mentoring to improve their odds of persistence at USA or to prepare them to transfer to another institution. While the preference is to encourage USA freshmen students to continue and persist at USA, a student who successfully transfers to another institution could also be considered a secondary measure of success compared to a complete “stop out” from higher education.

Institutional Research and Planning Page 4

Early indicators for students at greater risk to “stop out” instead of transferring to another institution included students of local origin from Mobile or Baldwin County (26%), living off campus (17%), did not participate in a learning community (15%), and male (14%). Students with these characteristics were less likely to transfer to another institution. Students with these characteristics should be targeted early with interventions to help them persist and return to USA, assuming they are capable of college work.

Institutional Research and Planning Page 5

APPENDIX

Crosstabs of Fall 2012 Freshman Cohort Non-returning Students

Gender

Total

Female

Male

Gender * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

156

43%

204

57%

360

100%

140

57%

106

43%

246

100%

Total

296

49%

310

51%

606

100%

Race

Total

White

African-American

Asian

Hispanic

Multiracial

Other

Race * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

Non-Resident Alien

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

17

5%

360

100%

12

3%

3

1%

213

59%

95

26%

6

2%

14

4%

2

1%

246

100%

11

4%

1

0%

158

64%

62

25%

4

2%

8

3%

Total

371

61%

157

26%

10

2%

22

4%

19

3%

606

100%

23

4%

4

1%

Age

Total

20 years or older

17 years or younger

18 years old

19 years old

Age * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

33

9%

20

6%

266

74%

41

11%

360

100%

3

1%

13

5%

201

82%

29

12%

246

100%

Total

36

6%

33

5%

467

77%

70

12%

606

100%

1

Region

Total

HS GPA

Total

Rest of Alabama

Region * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

Mobile or Baldwin

County

Mississippi Service

Area

Florida Service Area

Rest of United States

International

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

211

59%

98

27%

18

5%

17

5%

13

4%

3

1%

360

100%

7%

1

0%

246

100%

82

33%

111

45%

18

7%

16

7%

18

Total

293

48%

209

34%

36

6%

33

5%

31

5%

4

1%

606

100%

2.5 or lower

2.51-3.0

3.01-3.5

3.51-4.0

HS GPA * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

28

8%

111

33%

119

36%

75

23%

333

100%

7

3%

73

31%

82

34%

76

32%

238

100%

Total

35

6%

184

32%

201

35%

151

26%

571

100%

2

ACT

Total

Other

Scholarship

Total

18 or lower

19-20

21-23

24-26

27-29

30 or higher

No

Yes

ACT * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

60

19%

66

21%

82

26%

62

20%

31

10%

15

5%

316

100%

9%

10

4%

232

100%

45

19%

55

24%

72

31%

30

13%

20

Total

105

19%

121

22%

154

28%

92

17%

51

9%

25

5%

548

100%

Freshman

Scholarship

No

Yes

Total

Freshman Scholarship * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

239

66%

121

34%

360

100%

174

71%

72

29%

246

100%

Total

413

68%

193

32%

606

100%

Other Scholarship * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

332

92%

28

8%

360

100%

210

85%

36

15%

246

100%

Total

542

89%

64

11%

606

100%

Housing

Total

Off Campus

On Campus

Housing * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

201

56%

159

44%

360

100%

95

39%

151

61%

246

100%

Total

296

49%

310

51%

606

100%

3

Learning

Community

No

Yes

Total

Learning Community * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

272

76%

88

24%

360

100%

151

61%

95

39%

246

100%

Total

423

70%

183

30%

606

100%

Took

Freshman

Seminar

Total

No

Yes

Took Freshman Seminar * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

143

40%

217

60%

360

100%

84

34%

162

66%

246

100%

Total

227

37%

379

63%

606

100%

College

Total

AH

AS

BU

CS

ED

EG

NU

College * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

52

6%

50

14%

53

15%

360

100%

14%

136

38%

26

7%

22

6%

21

53

8%

32

13%

39

16%

246

100%

22%

76

31%

18

7%

8

3%

20

Total

105

7%

82

14%

92

15%

606

100%

17%

212

35%

44

7%

30

5%

41

4

Orientation

Total

Orientation * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

August/Adult/Transfer

Orientation

Count

% within Transferred from USA

May Orientation Count

% within Transferred from USA

Freshman Session 1

Freshman Session 2

Freshman Session 3

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

Freshman Session 4

Freshman Session 5

Freshman Session 6

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

65

18%

11

3%

29

8%

32

9%

39

11%

46

13%

66

18%

72

20%

360

100%

16%

33

13%

40

16%

37

15%

246

100%

24

10%

8

3%

30

12%

35

14%

39

13%

79

13%

106

17%

109

18%

606

100%

Total

89

15%

19

3%

59

10%

67

11%

78

USA Hours

Earned

Total

0-6 hours

USA Hours Earned * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

6.5-12 hours

12.5-18 hours

18.5-24 hours

24.5-30 hours

30.5 or more hours

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

135

40%

81

24%

53

16%

34

10%

23

7%

12

4%

338

100%

37

16%

48

21%

50

22%

35

15%

42

18%

20

9%

232

100%

Total

172

30%

129

23%

103

18%

69

12%

65

11%

32

6%

570

100%

5

USA GPA

Total

2.0 or lower

2.01-2.5

2.51-3.0

3.01-3.5

3.51-4.0

USA GPA * Transferred from USA Crosstabulation

Transferred from USA

Stopped Out Transferred

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

Count

% within Transferred from USA

250

74%

42

12%

33

10%

9

3%

4

1%

338

100%

103

44%

31

13%

41

18%

40

17%

17

7%

232

100%

Total

353

62%

73

13%

74

13%

49

9%

21

4%

570

100%

6

Download