EU FP6 Integrated Project CARBOOCEAN
”Marine carbon sources and sinks assessment”
4th Annual Meeting – Dourdan France
8-12 December 2008
CARBOOCEAN
SUPER
htl2008
EU FP6 Integrated Project CARBOOCEAN
”Marine carbon sources and sinks assessment”
4th Annual Meeting – Dourdan France
8-12 December 2008
Overview CARBOOCEAN
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/co2_data_mlo.html
Preindustrial niveau 280 ppm
http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/
Preindustrial niveau 280 ppm
2.1 Overall goal and mission: (from Annex I)
CARBOOCEAN IP (= CarboOcean Integrated Project) aims at an accurate scientific
as-sessment of the marine carbon sources and sinks within space and time. It
focuses on the Atlantic and Southern Oceans and a time interval of -200 to +200
years from now.
CARBOOCEAN will determine the ocean’s quantitative role for uptake of atmospheric
carbon dioxide (CO2), the most important manageable driving agent for climate
change. The ocean has the most significant overall potential as a sink for
anthropogenic CO2. The correct quantification of this sink is a fundamental necessary
condition for all realistic prognostic climate simulations.
CARBOOCEAN will thus create scientific knowledge, which is essential to a
quantitative risk/uncertainty judgement on the expected consequences of rising
atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Based on this judgement, it will be possible to
guide the development of appropriate mitigation actions, such as management of
CO2 emission reductions within a global context (e.g., Kyoto Protocol, United
Nations, 1997).
CARBOOCEAN combines the key European experts and scientific resources in the
field through an integrated research effort. The effort complements other major
research programmes on oceanic, atmospheric, and terrestrial carbon cycling and is
linked to these programmes.
Objectives of CARBOOCEAN IP
Guiding sustainable
development management
Objective 5:
Prediction, future assessment
CO2
emmisions
System dynamics
Initial conditions
Boundary conditions
Objective 4:
Assessment of
feedbacks
Objective 2:
Long term
assessment
Objective 3:
Assessment of
Regional European
Contribution
Objective 1: Short-term assessment
Over-arching activity: Prediction
Over-arching activity: Long-term assessment
Over-arching activity: Short-term assessment
Core Theme 2: Detection of decadal-centennial Atlantic and Southern Ocean carbon inventory changes
Core Theme 3:Carbon uptake and release at European regional scales
Core Theme 4: Biogeochemical feedback on the oceanic carbon sinks
Core Theme 5: Future scenarios for marine carbon sources and sinks
Month
Phase:
0
19
Description
37
Understanding
Nowcast and
Prediction
55
60
Synopsis and
Sustainment
Final Workshop
Kick-Off Meeting
Core Theme 1: North Atlantic and Southern Ocean CO2 air-sea exchange
External reviews:
This complex and important project is now moving into the phase where new and
exciting results are being developed in all of the Work Packages.
Particular highlights include the calculations regarding CO2 uptake rates in the
N.Atlantic, results from the Bergen mesocosm and new (testable) modelling results
such as the predictions regarding CO2 uptake at high latitude.
We note that the problems with WP10 and most of the problems with WP13 have
been solved but delivering of several important milestones in other WPs (e.g.,
M3.1, M8.6, M14.3A) is postponed till the next project phase.
The new funding for Carboschools+ and the investment of money in a
documentary shows the serious manner in which the team regard the Knowledge
transfer aspects of the programme.
Active participation of North American partners strengthens scientific excellence of
the project.
Data syntheses: SOCAT & CARINA
Processes and feedbacks: “SURFACE TO BOTTOM”
Cumulative PIC and net community
production in mesocosm experiments:
Bellerby et al, Biogeosciences, 2008
Absolute drift-corrected change in %CaCO3
in sediment averaged over the top first
centimeter: 4xCO2 – 1xCO2 :
Gehlen et al., G3, 2008
Future scenarios: 2 new model systems – in total 5
1 HADOCC (UK Met office)
2 BCM-C (“pre NorESM”) (UiB & Bjerkens Centre)
Tjiputra et al.
2008
What comes after CarboOcean IP,
i.e. after 31 Dec 2009?
-CarboOcean final report
-ICOS
-COCOS
-COMBINE
-EPOCA
-other running initiatives
-Hopefully new marine
biogeochemistry/C cycle slot in
FP7 workprogramme
-Good ideas available
-Keep spirits up
-Inform your national contacts
for Brussels
-Fill in gap with attracting
money from EU and nationally
-I believe: EU needs/wants us
to move on: C assessment
report
Outreach:
-CarboSchools/+ (new booklet)
-TV info-film planning
-GIFT workshop at EGU GA April 2008
Final products: Take your chances!!
Such as:
CT1: Flux maps over the last years (can we
discriminate between natural/anthrop.?)
CT2: Changes in inventories last 10 years?
CT3: How much do marginal seas contribute to
European carbon balance?
CT4: Which feedbacks are the most crucial?
CT5: Hindcasts (history of ocean sink), future sinks?
Places for presentations:
Among others:
ASLO Aquatic Sciences Meeting Januar 2009
Copenhagen Climaet Congress March 2009
EGU GA April 2009
ICDC8 – 8th international carbon dioxide conference in Jena
September 2009
Final CarboOcean meeting October 2009
AGU Fall Meeting December 2009