To compete in a changing
world we need a
on transportation
1
Our
response
was heroic.
“Minneapolis bridge collapse
highlights aging U.S. infrastructure.”
– Times of London, August 2, 2007
Source: Photo from Jeff Wheler/Minneapolis Star Tribune via AP
2
We share important values
about our region
• Competitiveness
• Prosperity
• Job growth
• Safety
• Reliability
• Efficiency
• Choices
• Livability
3
Driving outpaces population growth . . .
up 151.0%
+40.4%
Population1
1980-2000
up 56.0%
Trips per day2
1970-2000
1 U.S. Census
2 Metropolitan Council 2030 Transportation Plan
3 Texas Transportation Institute, 2007 Report
Miles driven
per day3
1982-2005
4
Hours per year stuck in traffic
43 hours
45
40
35
30
25
20 6 hours
15
10
5
0
1982 1985
1988
1991
Source: Texas Transportation Institute
1994
1997
2000
2003
2005
5
Loss of predictability hurts
business shipments
•
•
A trip that should take 1 hour, now
takes 1 hr., 20 min.
But you should plan for 1 hr., 45 min.
Source: Texas Transportation Institute
6
We’re getting congested faster than almost
anywhere else
Hours of delay added per traveler, 1982-2005
Rank
1 Dallas-Fort Worth
48
+480%
2
San Diego
3
Washington, DC
44
+275%
3
Riverside, CA
44
+880%
5
Twin Cities
43
+616%
Average, large cities
Source: Texas Transportation Institute
45
26
+375%
+236%
7
Our increase in travel demand has far
outpaced our road capacity and transit service
Transportation demand vs. capacity
151% increase
28 million daily vehicle
miles of freeway travel
29% increase
1,630 freeway lane miles
1982
2005
14% increase
In miles of
transit service
Sources: Texas Transportation Institute 2005 Urban Mobility Study; Metropolitan Council
8
During a key growth period, Minnesota
ranked 48th in transportation investment
State funds per capita for roads and transit (capital
outlay), 1995-2003
$435 $441
$334
$186
$123 $124 $124
$110
$90
CA
OR
MN
5 lowest
GA
MI
National
average
Middle
Sources: Federal Highway Administration; Texas Transportation Institute
SD
WY
AK
3 highest
9
Now we’re running on empty
•
Crosstown delayed again
“Requiring contractors to finance . . . Fails to draw bids.”
– Star Tribune, June 17, 2006
•
Wakota Bridge delayed
“Troubled bridge hits new snag.”
– Pioneer Press, December 29, 2006
•
Property taxes rise . . .
“ . . . To make up for transportation shortfall.”
– League of Minnesota Cities
•
2030 Transit Plan unfunded
“ Existing revenue streams simply will not be adequate.”
– Metropolitan Council, 2004
10
How do we support our future growth?
Total population, 7-county metro region
Millions of people
4.0
42%
increase
in 30 years
3.0
1 million
more people
expected by
2030
2.0
1.0
0.0
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
Source: Metropolitan Council 2030 Transportation Policy Plan
2020
2030
11
Last century’s solution won’t work
“What would it take to build our way
out of congestion? . . . a 70%
expansion (adding 1,146 lane miles
to the freeway system) by 2020.”
– University of Minnesota
Would you want to live in a place like this?
Source: Center for Transportation Studies, University of Minnesota
12
This century presents new challenges
we can’t ignore
Energy
insecurity
Climate
change
New
solutions
Source:
Photos from: National Renewable Energy, U.S. EPA, www.transitorienteddevelopment.org
13
Minnesota has a transportation strategy
Catch up on
roads and
bridges
Add transit and
other choices
Build communities designed
for less driving
Source:
Photos from: www.okroads.com, www.lightrailnow.org, Ben Garvin, New York Times
14
We have a road investment plan
Relieve bottlenecks
94 and
694
494 and
169
280
35E and
94
55
35
Source: MnDOT
169 and
County
Road 81
52
15
We have a road investment plan
Finish roads begun
but not yet completed
35W and
694
610
5
Wakota
Bridge
212
77
Source: MnDOT
3
16
We have a road investment plan
New lanes to build
capacity where needed
10
35W and
35E north
of 694
394
36
169 from
494 to I94
62
494-694
beltway
55
Source: MnDOT
17
We have a transit plan
Three transitways are up-andrunning or in active development
NorthStar
Central
Hiawatha
Source: Metropolitan Council
18
We have a transit plan
Seven others are in early
development, but there’s no
state funding available . . .
Rush Line
Bottineau
Boulevard
I-394
Southwest
I-35W
(UPA)
Source: Metropolitan Council
Red Rock
Cedar Avenue
19
We have a transit plan
A complete transit system . . .
Source: Metropolitan Council
20
Build communities designed for less driving
Maple Grove
Arbor Lakes
Woodbury Lakes
St. Louis Park
Excelsior and Grand
Burnsville
Heart of City
Source:
Photos from: www.richardcooper.com, edenprairieweblogs.org
21
Metro shortfall: $984 million a year
$1.5B
$1.2B
$332M
$330M
$186M
Needed
for
roads
Needed
for
transit
Total
need
Funding
expected
New
MVST
revenue
$984M
Our
annual
shortfal
l
22
The consequences of not acting . . .
“Funding at current levels will result in significant
increases in traffic congestion, delaying the
movement of people and goods, reducing the
region’s economic competitiveness, and harming
our quality of life.”
– Metropolitan Council 2030 Transportation Plan
Last revised 2004
23
What others have done
47 states
Denver
Raised gasoline tax since Minnesota last raised its
tax 20 years ago
Denver added 0.4¢ to sales tax for 12 years to raise
$4.7 billion for transit
Phoenix
Extended half-cent sales tax for 20 years to raise
$16 billion for rail, buses, and roads
San Diego
Extended 1/2-cent sales tax for 20 years to raise
$9.5 billion for rail, buses and roads
Salt Lake
City
Added 1/4 cent to sales tax for 10 years to raise
$2.6 billion for 10 years to build 4 new light rail lines
and commuter rail
Sources: American Petroleum Institute; local transit agencies
24
Funding the Metro plan
Potential actions to solve our $984 million a year shortfall
Metro
need
$984M
Shifting current revenues
Adding new revenue
Managing future demand
25
Funding the Metro plan
Potential actions to solve our $984 million a year shortfall
Metro
need
$984M
Shifting current revenues
Annual yield
% of need
M.V.S.T.1
$183 million
Leased vehicles1
$ 28 million
4%
Rental cars2
$ 28 million
3%
Property tax increments2
$
1 MN Revenue Department
2 Senate Transportation Committee staff
? million
19%
?%
26
Funding the Metro plan
Potential actions to solve our $984 million a year shortfall
Metro
need
$984M
Adding new revenue
Annual yield
% of need
29%
Extend sales tax to clothing1
$283 million
Extend sales tax to gasoline1
$235 million
24%
½ cent sales tax increase2
$225 million
23%
License tab fees1
$ 75 million
8%
Nickel gas tax increase1
$ 69 million
7%
Wheelage tax1
$ 40 million
4%
Index gas tax
$
1%
1 MN Revenue Department
9 million
27
Funding the Metro plan
Potential actions to solve our $984 million a year shortfall
Metro
need
Adding new revenue
$984M
Annual yield
% of need
Levy tax on emissions
Levy tax on “free” parking spaces
Leasing roads and bridges to
private companies
Mileage tax
28
Funding the Metro plan
Potential actions to solve our $984 million a year shortfall
Metro
need
Managing future demand
$984M
Annual yield
% of need
Road pricing
Life style and community
29
Bonding can be a part of the solution
Bonding can accelerate high-priority
projects, but should not be viewed as
adding "new money" to the
transportation solution. Bonding is
borrowing money that must be paid
back with interest.
30
Investing in transportation is investing in
the future of the Twin Cities
We need a 21st century
transportation system to
• Stay competitive
• Enhance our quality of life
• Fulfill our potential for
future generations
31
What can you do?
•
•
Share this presentation
•
•
Talk to your friends and neighbors
Tell your state political leaders that
now is the time to act
Write letters to local and community
newspapers
Information in this presentation was
assembled by ULI Minnesota, the
Regional Council of Mayors and the
Itasca Project
www.minnesota.uli.org
32
To compete in a changing
world we need a
on transportation
33