Recognizing Patterns Within Deeply Divided Societies Evaluating Peace Processes to Create a Solution to Conflict Chrystine Lake December 1, 2008 Capstone 499 Dr. Jeremy Lewis An Introduction to Conflict… Many societies are divided by ethnic, religious, and nationalistic issues… The process by which a nation hopes to eliminate these conflicts and create stability and security is referred to as the ‘peace process’. The Purpose of this Research… Evaluating the peace process of a deeply divided society can help to illuminate patterns within that process that can help other countries facing similar issues. By analyzing these process, I hope to establish why certain methods work and if a universal method of resolution can be established. Evaluating the Peace Process… Three case studies are analyzed: South Africa Northern Ireland Palestine South Africa The Conflict The result of decolonization, 1948. The system of apartheid. Life under the National Party. Violence within the movement. The Origins of the Peace Process The 1970’s… The Nationalism Movement. The International Community. The Peace Process F.W. de Klerk and Nelson Mandela. 1990’s legislation repeals. Forming a new government. Ideological Solutions. Northern Ireland The Conflict The Fight for Irish Independence. Unionist v. Nationalist, Protestant v. Catholic. Partition. British and Irish Influences. Deaths in Northern Ireland Conflict, 1969-1983 Year Unionist British Nationalist Civ. Total 1969 1 0 1 0 0 0 12 13 1970 2 0 2 0 0 0 23 25 1971 11 0 11 43 5 48 115 174 1972 14 3 17 103 26 129 321 467 1973 10 3 13 58 8 66 171 250 1974 12 3 15 28 7 35 166 216 1975 7 4 11 14 6 20 216 247 1976 13 10 23 14 15 29 245 297 1977 8 6 14 15 14 29 69 112 1978 4 6 10 14 7 21 50 81 1979 9 5 14 38 10 48 51 113 1980 3 6 9 8 9 17 50 76 1981 13 8 21 10 13 23 57 101 1982 8 4 12 21 7 28 57 97 1983 9 9 18 5 10 15 44 77 Origins of the Peace Process The 1960’s… The Sunningdale Agreement of 1973 The International Community The Hume-Adam’s Talks The Peace Process Legislation in the 1990’s… The Frameworks Documents Self-Determination, Decommissioning, the Irish Dimension, and Direct Rule The Belfast Agreement of 1998. Palestine The Conflict Creating a new state in 1947… The International Dimension. Religious and ethnic tension. The Origins of the Peace Process Resolution 242. International Influence. How to approach it… Questions to ask… What similarities in conflict are apparent between these societies? What similarities in conflict resolution are apparent between these societies? Can these similarities create a consensus to form a universal method of conflict resolution in deeply divided societies? Similarities in Conflict Marginalization Nationalism Cultural Tension Inequality Violence Similarities in Resolution The International Dimension Power-Sharing Decommissioning Self-Determination The ‘Last Resort’ Creating a Universal Method Applying these similarities to Palestine… – Can it work? Conclusions… Resources Byrnes, Rita M.1997. ‘South Africa: A Country Study.’ Washington D.C: Federal Research Division. Hennessey, Thomas.2001. ‘The Northern Ireland Peace Process: Ending the Troubles?’ New York: Palgrave Publishers Ltd. Lea, David. 2002. ‘A Survey of Arab-Israeli Relations 1947-2001.’ London: Europa Publications, Ltd. Mitchell, Paul and Rick Wilford. 1999. ‘Politics in northern Ireland.’ Boulder, CO: Westview Press. Taylor, Alan R. and Richard N. Tetlie. 1970. ‘Palestine: A Search for Truth, Approaches to the Arab-Israeli Conflict.’ Washington D.C.: Public Affairs Press.