PRODUCTIONS/OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT

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Chapter 6 – Part 4

Process Capability

Meaning of Process Capability

 The capability of a process is the ability of the process to meet the specifications.

 A process is capability of meeting the specification limits if at least 99.73

% of the product falls within the specification limits.

 This means that the fraction of product that falls outside the specification limits is no greater than

0.0027, or that no more that 3 out of 1,000 units is

“out of spec.”

 Our method of computing process capability assumes that the process is normally distributed.

Control Limits vs. Spec. Limits

 Control limits apply to sample means, not individual values.

 Mean diameter of sample of 5 parts, X bar

 Spec limits apply to individual values

 Diameter of an individual part, X

Control Limits vs. Spec. Limits

Sampling distribution,

X-bar

Process distribution,

X

LSL

Lower control limit

Mean=

Target

Upper control limit

USL

Requirements for Assessing

Process Capability

 To assess capability of a process, the process must be in statistical control.

 That is, all special causes of variation must be removed prior to assessing capability.

 Also, process performance characteristic

(e.g., diameter, bake time) must be normally distributed.

C p

Index

Cp

USL

6

 ˆ

LSL

USL = upper specification limit

LSL = Lower specification limit

 ˆ  estimated process standard deviation

C p

Index

6

 ˆ  spread of the process

USL - LSL

 width of the spec.

limits

• We want the spread (variability) of the process to be as ???

• If the spread of the process is very ????, the capability of the process will be very ????

C p

Index

LSL X

Width of spec limits = USL - LSL

USL

Spread of Process = USL - LSL

Process distribution,

X

Process is Barely Capable if Cp = 1

.9973

.00135

.00135

LSL USL

X

X

Spread of process matches the width of specs.

99.73% of output is within the spec. limits.

Process Barely Capable if Cp = 1

 spec. limits?

LSL =

USL =

Process Barely Capable if Cp = 1

Cp

X

USL

6

 ˆ

LSL

3

6

 ˆ

( X

3

)

X

6

6

 ˆ

3

6

 ˆ

X

1

3

Process is Capable if Cp > 1

>.9973

< .00135

USL

< .00135

X

LSL X

Spread of process is less than the width of specs.

More than 99.73% of output is within the spec. limits.

Process is Not Capable if Cp < 1

< .9973

> .00135

> .00135

LSL USL

X

X

Spread of process is greater than the width of specs.

Less than 99.73% of output is within the spec. limits.

Estimating the Standard Deviation

LCL

X

3

 ˆ n

UCL

X

3

 ˆ n

LCL

X

A

2

R

UCL

X

A

2

R

Estimating the Standard Deviation

3

 ˆ n

A

2

R

 ˆ 

A

2

R

3 n

Sugar Example Ch. 6 - 3

Day Hour X1 X2 X3 X

1 10 am 17 13 6 36/3 =12

1 pm 15 12 24 51/3 =17

4 pm 12 21 15 48/3 =16

2 10 am 13 12 17 42/3 =14

1 pm 18 21 15 54/3 =18

R

11

12

9

5

6

4 pm 10 18 17 45/3 =15

X = 92/6

= 15.33

8

R = 51/6

= 8.5

R

8 .

5 , n

3 , A

2

1 .

02

 ˆ 

A

2

R

3 n

( 1 .

02 )( 8 .

5 )

3

15 .

0169

3

5 .

0

3

Capability of Sugar Process

USL = 20 grams

LSL = 10 grams

 ˆ 

5 .

0

Cp

USL

6

 ˆ

LSL

20

10

6 ( 5 )

10

30

0 .

33

Capability of Sugar Process

 Since C p

<1, the process is not capability of meeting the spec limits.

 The fraction of defective drinks (drinks with either too much or not enough sugar) will exceed .0027.

 That is, more than 3 out of every 1000 drinks produced can be expected to be too sweet or not sweet enough.

 We now estimate the process fraction defective, p -bar.

Estimated Process Fraction Defective

 What is the estimated process fraction defective -the percentage of product out of spec?

p -bar = F1 + F2

F1

LSL USL

F2

Mean

Estimated Process Fraction Defective

 We can then use Cp to determine the p -bar because there is a simple relationship between Cp and z : z = 3 C p

(See last side for deviation of this result.)

Suppose, C p

= 0.627

z = 3(0.627) =1.88

Estimated Process Fraction Defective

 The z value tells us how many standard deviations the specification limits are away from the mean.

 A z value of 1.88 indicates that the USL is 1.88 standard deviations above the mean.

 The negative of z , -1.88, indicates that the LSL is

1.88 standard deviations below the mean.

 We let

Area( z ) be the area under the standard normal curve between 0 and z .

Process Fraction Defective

Area( z ) = Area(1.88) = 0.4699

LSL USL

F

2

0 z = 1.88

F

2

= % above USL = .5000 - 0.4699 = .0301

.

.

0.2

.09

1.8

z

0.0

0.1

z Table (Text, p. 652)

.00

.01

.02

.

.

.

.08

.09

.4699

Process Fallout pbar = 2[.5 – Area( z )] = F1 + F2

F1

LSL

0

0.4699

USL z = 1.88

F2 pbar = 2(.5 – .4699) = 2(.0301)=.0602

Process Fallout – Two Sided Spec.

Cp

0.25

z = 3 Cp Fallout =

2[.5 – Area(z)]

Defect Rate in

PPM (parts per million)

0.75

2[.5-.2734] = .4532 453,200 PPM

0.80

1.0

1.5

2.40

2[.5-.4918] = .0164

16,400 PPM

3

-4.5

From

Excel

2[.5-.4987] = .0026

2,600 PPM

7 PPM 2[Area(z )]=

2[.0000034]

=.0000068

Recommended Minimum Cp

Process Cp z = 3 Cp

Existing process

New process

1.25

3.75

Fallout

2[Area(-z)]=

2[.000088]

=.0001769

1.45

4.35

2[Area(-z)]=

2[.000006812]

=.0000136

PPM

176.9

13.6

Recommended Minimum Cp

Process Cp z = 3 Cp

Safety, existing process

Safety, new process

Fallout

1.45

4.35

2[Area(-z)]=

2[.000006812]

=.0000136

1.60

4.80

2[Area(-z)]=

2[.000000794]

=0.0000016

PPM

13.6

1.6

Soft Drink Example

Cp = 0.33

z = 3 Cp = 3(0.33) = 0.99

Area( z ) = Area(0.99) = 0.3389

p -bar = 2[.5 - Area(0.99)]

= 2[.5 - 0.3389]

= 0.3222

Capability Index Based on Target

• Limitation of C p is that it assumes that the process is mean is on target.

Process Mean = Target Value = (LSL + USL)/2

C

T

Capability Index

 With Cp, capability value is the same whether the process is centered on target or is way off.

 Cp is not affected by location of mean relative to target.

 We need capability index that accounts for location of the mean relative to the target as well as the variance.

 C

T is an index that accounts for the location of mean relative to target.

C

T

Capability Index

C

T

6

USL

LSL

 ˆ  

( X

Target)

2

C

T

Capability Index

If process is centered on target,

X

Target

( X

Target)

2 

0

C

T

??

If process is off target,

X

T arget

C

T

C p

Example of C

T

LSL = 10, USL = 20, estimated standard deviation =

5.0 and estimate process mean = 15.33. Compute

C

T

.

C

T

6

USL

LSL

 ˆ  

( X

Target)

2

6

20

10

5

 

( 15 .

33

15 )

2

.

3326

C

T

Capability Index

If process mean is adjusted to target,

C

T

6

USL

LSL

 ˆ  

( X

Target)

2

6 0 .

3

14

10

( 12

12 )

2

2 .

2

C p

C

T

Capability Index

 C p is the largest value that C

T can equal.

 Since C p

= 2.2 and C

T

= .44, the difference

D

C p

C

T

.

3333

.

3326

0 .

0007 is the maximum amount by which we can increase

C

T by adjusting the mean to the target value.

Conclusion?

Derivation of z = 3Cp

C

 p

X

2 z

 ˆ z

6

 ˆ

USL z

 ˆ

6

 ˆ

(

6

 ˆ

LSL

X

3 z

 ˆ

) z

3 C p

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